Event Outcomes summary tables

Author

Noah Sosinsky and Carwil Bjork-James

Published

July 5, 2025

Event Outcomes

Event outcomes are characterized as follows. In case where either at least one death was perpetrated by the state or at least one death had a state victim, the Outcome was summarized as either movement success (up arrow; green) or state success (down arrow; red), while the text in Outcome Summary describes the outcome. Among the several that were coded as movement successes, we note a ‘(partial) agreement’ on the part of the government. One case, the 1988 Villa Tunari massacre (ID no. 5), is coded as having a mixed outcome.

When no deaths involved the state, outcomes are not colored as success by the movement or the state, but rather classified as success by the (quantitatively and qualitatively) less violent party or more violent party or as attracting mediation by the state.

Outcomes were initially assigned in our research on events with three or more deaths, which was published in the Journal of Latin American Studies in 2024(Bjork-James 2024). (See the article’s data page for the published version of this table.)

Further work to characterize outcomes across smaller and newly added large events is ongoing.

All Events

Here, we provide a comprehensive overview of all recorded events, summarizing their outcomes in the table below.

Events with coded outcomes

The following table focuses on events with explicitly coded outcomes, allowing a more detailed examination of resolved cases.

References

Bjork-James, Carwil. 2024. “When Does Lethal Repression Fail? Unarmed Militancy and Backfire in Bolivia, 19822021.” Journal of Latin American Studies 56 (1): 136. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022216X24000208.